مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Basel v FC St Gallen

البداية: 2026-05-14 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Basel 1–3 FC St Gallen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Basel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.25%2.16السعر العادل
EV +1.75%
الأفضلية +0.796%
Kelly +1.46%
النمو +0.026%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.04%45.94%46.23%47.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.022.002.2054.64%49.57%50.00%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC St Gallen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.16%3.32السعر العادل
EV -0.775%
الأفضلية -0.236%
Kelly -0.338%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.84%30.46%30.13%33.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.023.003.2936.36%33.15%33.33%30.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.59%4.24السعر العادل
EV +0.022%
الأفضلية +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.18%23.59%23.65%26.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.843.804.2430.77%26.04%26.32%23.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV +1.75%E +0.796%K +1.46%G +0.026%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.66%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -10.12%E -3.40%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 14:16
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:26
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.37%EV -0.775%E -0.236%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.79%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:24
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.84%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.58%EV -10.59%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:26
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:21
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 14:15
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 14:21
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.76%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -16.46%E -5.94%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -16.26%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:21
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.62%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.28%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.922%E -0.219%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:20
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 14:16
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.74%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:21
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 14:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -23.33%E -7.18%K -10.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.15%EV -12.12%E -6.38%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.05%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 14:26
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.36%E -8.39%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.55%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-14 14:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 41.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 32.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 26.14%-8.9%2026-05-14 14:16
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26