L’École des cotes

FC Basel v FC St Gallen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 14:30 UTC

Score final : FC Basel 1–3 FC St Gallen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Prévision 46.25%2.16cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.796%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.04%45.94%46.23%47.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.022.002.2054.64%49.57%50.00%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC St Gallen (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.16%3.32cote équitable
EV -0.775%
Avantage -0.236%
Kelly -0.338%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.84%30.46%30.13%33.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.2936.36%33.15%33.33%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.59%4.24cote équitable
EV +0.022%
Avantage +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.59%23.65%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.843.804.2430.77%26.04%26.32%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV +1.75%E +0.796%K +1.46%G +0.026%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.66%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -10.12%E -3.40%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 14:16
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:26
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.37%EV -0.775%E -0.236%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.79%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:24
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.84%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.58%EV -10.59%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:26
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:21
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 14:15
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 14:21
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.76%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -16.46%E -5.94%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -16.26%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:21
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.62%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.28%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.922%E -0.219%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:20
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 14:16
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.74%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:21
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 14:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -23.33%E -7.18%K -10.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.15%EV -12.12%E -6.38%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.05%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 14:26
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.36%E -8.39%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.55%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-14 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 41.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 32.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 26.14%-8.9%2026-05-14 14:16
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26