La scuola delle quote

FC Basel v FC St Gallen

Inizio: 2026-05-14 14:30 UTC

Finale: FC Basel 1–3 FC St Gallen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Basel (Casa)

Previsione 46.25%2.16quota equa
EV +1.75%
Vantaggio +0.796%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.04%45.94%46.23%47.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.022.002.2054.64%49.57%50.00%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC St Gallen (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.16%3.32quota equa
EV -0.775%
Vantaggio -0.236%
Kelly -0.338%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.84%30.46%30.13%33.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.023.003.2936.36%33.15%33.33%30.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.59%4.24quota equa
EV +0.022%
Vantaggio +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.18%23.59%23.65%26.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.843.804.2430.77%26.04%26.32%23.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV +1.75%E +0.796%K +1.46%G +0.026%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.66%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -10.12%E -3.40%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 14:16
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:26
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.37%EV -0.775%E -0.236%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.79%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:24
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.84%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.58%EV -10.59%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:26
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:21
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 14:15
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 14:21
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.76%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -16.46%E -5.94%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -16.26%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:21
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.62%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.28%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.922%E -0.219%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:20
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 14:16
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.74%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:21
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 14:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -23.33%E -7.18%K -10.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.15%EV -12.12%E -6.38%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.05%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 14:26
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.36%E -8.39%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.55%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-14 14:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 41.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 32.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 26.14%-8.9%2026-05-14 14:16
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26