Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel v FC Sion

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel (Local)

Prediction 38.47%2.60fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.53%38.48%39.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.402.4845.45%41.99%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Sion (Visit)

Prediction 36.37%2.75fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%36.33%36.38%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.6243.48%39.56%39.22%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.16%3.97fair odd
EV +0.637%
Edge +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.44%25.14%25.14%27.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.504.0032.26%28.21%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Basel (Local): 38.47%; FC Sion (Visit): 36.37%; Draw: 25.16%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.637%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +0.637%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-23 06:09
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -5.08%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 22:24
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 12:10
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.36%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:14
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 08:57
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 12:01
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:00
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 06:19
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 18:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 08:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.46%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 06:44
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:54
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.53%EV -14.59%E -6.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.39%EV -9.80%E -3.95%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 03:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 12:05
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.41%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.74%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.85%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-23 06:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -22.01%E -7.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 36.88%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%11.1%2026-04-24 03:05