L’École des cotes

FC Basel v FC Sion

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Prévision 38.47%2.60cote équitable
EV -4.59%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.53%38.48%39.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.402.4845.45%41.99%41.67%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Sion (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.37%2.75cote équitable
EV -4.71%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.08%36.33%36.38%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.6243.48%39.56%39.22%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.16%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.637%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.44%25.14%25.14%27.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.553.504.0032.26%28.21%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +0.637%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-23 06:09
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:20
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -5.08%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:05
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 22:24
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:04
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 12:10
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.36%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:14
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 08:57
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 22:20
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 22:25
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 12:01
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 06:19
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 18:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 08:59
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.46%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 06:44
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:54
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.53%EV -14.59%E -6.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.39%EV -9.80%E -3.95%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 03:24
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 12:05
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.41%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.74%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.85%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-23 06:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -22.01%E -7.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 36.88%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%11.1%2026-04-24 03:05