مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Basel v FC Sion

البداية: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Basel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.47%2.60السعر العادل
EV -4.59%
الأفضلية -1.85%
Kelly -3.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.03%38.53%38.48%39.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.402.4845.45%41.99%41.67%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Sion (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.37%2.75السعر العادل
EV -4.71%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -2.91%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.08%36.33%36.38%37.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.532.552.6243.48%39.56%39.22%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.16%3.97السعر العادل
EV +0.637%
الأفضلية +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.44%25.14%25.14%27.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.553.504.0032.26%28.21%28.57%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +0.637%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-23 06:09
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:20
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -5.08%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:05
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 22:24
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:04
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 12:10
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.36%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:14
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 08:57
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 22:20
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 22:25
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 12:01
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 06:19
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 18:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 08:59
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.46%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 06:44
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:54
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.53%EV -14.59%E -6.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.39%EV -9.80%E -3.95%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 03:24
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 12:05
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.41%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.74%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.85%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-23 06:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -22.01%E -7.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 12:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 36.88%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%11.1%2026-04-24 03:05