La escuela de los momios

FC Basel v FC Sion

Inicio: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Predicción 38.47%2.60momio equitativo
EV -4.59%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.53%38.48%39.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.402.4845.45%41.99%41.67%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Sion (Visitante)

Predicción 36.37%2.75momio equitativo
EV -4.71%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.08%36.33%36.38%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.552.6243.48%39.56%39.22%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.16%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.637%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.212%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.44%25.14%25.14%27.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.504.0032.26%28.21%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +0.637%E +0.159%K +0.212%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-23 06:09
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:20
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -5.08%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:05
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 22:24
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:04
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 12:10
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.36%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:14
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.17%E -2.39%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 03:25
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 08:57
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.27%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -7.99%E -3.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 22:20
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 22:25
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 12:01
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 06:19
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -13.44%E -5.65%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 18:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 08:59
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.46%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 06:44
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:54
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.53%EV -14.59%E -6.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.39%EV -9.80%E -3.95%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 03:24
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 12:05
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:14
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:10
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:15
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.20%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.90%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.41%EV -15.36%E -6.98%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.74%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.85%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-23 06:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -12.71%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -22.01%E -7.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.05%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-04-23 13:35
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 36.88%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%11.1%2026-04-24 03:05