A Escola das Odds

Varbergs BoIS v IFK Värnamo

Início: 2026-05-08 17:00 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 3–2 IFK Värnamo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Previsão 42.03%2.38odd justa
EV +0.460%
Vantagem +0.193%
Kelly +0.331%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.81%42.01%42.02%45.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.182.182.3950.00%45.83%45.87%41.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Previsão 30.69%3.26odd justa
EV -4.55%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.11%30.80%30.69%33.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.003.053.1137.04%33.37%32.79%32.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.28%3.67odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -0.893%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.78%27.19%27.29%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.353.5533.33%29.92%29.85%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.81%EV +0.460%E +0.193%K +0.331%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.17%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:15
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.68%EV -4.55%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.99%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 16:44
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:43
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:49
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:49
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -6.09%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:54
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:44
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:44
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:44
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.53%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:39
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:39
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:34
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 16:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:44
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:54
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:25
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:25
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:25
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.00%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:24
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 16:54
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 16:40
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 16:40
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 16:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 16:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -15.44%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -15.44%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 16:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -17.14%E -6.35%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 16:44
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.95%EV -10.05%E -4.70%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 16:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 16:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.17%E -6.06%K -9.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-08 16:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.93%E -7.97%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.53%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 16:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:44
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:44