مدرسة الاحتمالات

Varbergs BoIS v IFK Värnamo

البداية: 2026-05-08 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Varbergs BoIS 3–2 IFK Värnamo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.03%2.38السعر العادل
EV +0.460%
الأفضلية +0.193%
Kelly +0.331%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.81%42.01%42.02%45.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.182.182.3950.00%45.83%45.87%41.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IFK Värnamo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.69%3.26السعر العادل
EV -4.55%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -2.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.11%30.80%30.69%33.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.003.053.1137.04%33.37%32.79%32.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.28%3.67السعر العادل
EV -3.17%
الأفضلية -0.893%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.78%27.19%27.29%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.353.5533.33%29.92%29.85%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.81%EV +0.460%E +0.193%K +0.331%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.17%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 09:15
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.68%EV -4.55%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.99%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 16:44
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:43
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:49
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:49
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -6.09%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:54
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:44
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:44
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:44
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.53%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:39
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:39
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:34
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 16:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:44
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:54
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:25
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:25
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:25
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.00%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:24
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 16:54
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 16:40
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 16:40
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 16:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 16:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -15.44%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -15.44%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 16:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -17.14%E -6.35%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 16:44
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.95%EV -10.05%E -4.70%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 16:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 16:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.17%E -6.06%K -9.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-08 16:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.93%E -7.97%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.53%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 16:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:44
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-08 16:44