StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Östersunds FK v IFK Värnamo

Matchstart: 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Östersunds FK 3–2 IFK Värnamo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Östersunds FK (Hemma)

Prognos 36.56%2.73rättvist odds
EV +2.38%
Fördel +0.850%
Kelly +1.32%
Tillväxt +0.031%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.98%36.20%36.62%37.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.572.552.8043.48%38.94%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Borta)

Prognos 35.52%2.82rättvist odds
EV -2.67%
Fördel -0.976%
Kelly -1.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.31%35.87%35.46%38.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.552.552.7442.02%39.26%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.92%3.58rättvist odds
EV -2.29%
Fördel -0.656%
Kelly -0.918%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.27%27.93%27.93%29.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.61%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Östersunds FK (Hemma): 36.56%; IFK Värnamo (Borta): 35.52%; Oavgjort: 27.92%. För Östersunds FK (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.73. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.38%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV +2.38%E +0.850%K +1.32%G +0.031%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -12.27%E -4.97%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.29%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:30
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 10:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -15.46%E -6.50%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:51
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:45
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.85%EV -2.67%E -0.976%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.20%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.37%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -8.99%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:45
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:35
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.97%EV -7.49%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:45
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 10:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:44
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:45
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-03 10:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.60%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-03 10:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 10:35
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -15.90%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:51
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:45