La scuola delle quote

Östersunds FK v IFK Värnamo

Inizio: 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

Finale: Östersunds FK 3–2 IFK Värnamo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Östersunds FK (Casa)

Previsione 36.56%2.73quota equa
EV +2.38%
Vantaggio +0.850%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.98%36.20%36.62%37.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.572.552.8043.48%38.94%39.22%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Värnamo (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.52%2.82quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -0.976%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.31%35.87%35.46%38.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.552.552.7442.02%39.26%39.22%36.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.92%3.58quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -0.656%
Kelly -0.918%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.27%27.93%27.93%29.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.61%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV +2.38%E +0.850%K +1.32%G +0.031%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -12.27%E -4.97%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.29%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:30
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 10:31
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -15.46%E -6.50%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 10:35
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:51
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:45
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.85%EV -2.67%E -0.976%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.20%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.37%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -8.99%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:45
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:35
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.97%EV -7.49%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:35
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:45
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 10:45
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:35
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:44
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:45
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-03 10:45
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.60%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-03 10:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 10:35
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -15.90%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:51
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:45