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Östersunds FK v IFK Värnamo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Östersunds FK (Хозяева)
Прогноз 36.56%2.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.38%
Преимущество +0.850%
Kelly +1.32%
Рост +0.031%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.98%36.20%36.62%37.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.572.552.8043.48%38.94%39.22%35.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
IFK Värnamo (Гости)
Прогноз 35.52%2.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.67%
Преимущество -0.976%
Kelly -1.54%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.31%35.87%35.46%38.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.382.552.552.7442.02%39.26%39.22%36.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.92%3.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.29%
Преимущество -0.656%
Kelly -0.918%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.27%27.93%27.93%29.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.61%30.30%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Östersunds FK (Хозяева): 36.56%; IFK Värnamo (Гости): 35.52%; Ничья: 27.92%. Для исхода «Östersunds FK (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.73. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.38%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV +2.38%E +0.850%K +1.32%G +0.031% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -12.27%E -4.97%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.29%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -15.46%E -6.50%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.85%EV -2.67%E -0.976%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.20%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.37%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -8.99%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.97%EV -7.49%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.60%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -15.90%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |