La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Östersunds FK v IFK Värnamo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Östersunds FK (Local)
Predicción 36.56%2.73momio equitativo
EV +2.38%
Ventaja +0.850%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.98%36.20%36.62%37.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.572.552.8043.48%38.94%39.22%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Värnamo (Visitante)
Predicción 35.52%2.82momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.31%35.87%35.46%38.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.552.552.7442.02%39.26%39.22%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.92%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.656%
Kelly -0.918%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%27.93%27.93%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.61%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV +2.38%E +0.850%K +1.32%G +0.031% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -12.27%E -4.97%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.29%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:30 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -15.46%E -6.50%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| BetAnything | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.85%EV -2.67%E -0.976%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.20%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.37%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -8.99%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.97%EV -7.49%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:44 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.60%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 10:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -15.90%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |