مدرسة الاحتمالات

Östersunds FK v IFK Värnamo

البداية: 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Östersunds FK 3–2 IFK Värnamo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Östersunds FK (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.56%2.73السعر العادل
EV +2.38%
الأفضلية +0.850%
Kelly +1.32%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.98%36.20%36.62%37.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.572.552.8043.48%38.94%39.22%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IFK Värnamo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.52%2.82السعر العادل
EV -2.67%
الأفضلية -0.976%
Kelly -1.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.31%35.87%35.46%38.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.552.552.7442.02%39.26%39.22%36.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.92%3.58السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -0.656%
Kelly -0.918%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.27%27.93%27.93%29.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.61%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV +2.38%E +0.850%K +1.32%G +0.031%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -12.27%E -4.97%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.29%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.551%E +0.200%K +0.315%G +0.002%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -11.91%E -4.80%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:30
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:31
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.28%E -0.473%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 10:31
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -15.46%E -6.50%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 10:35
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:41
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:51
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.48%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:45
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.85%EV -2.67%E -0.976%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.20%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.37%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -8.99%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:45
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:35
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.97%EV -7.49%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.65%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:35
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:45
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 10:45
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:35
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:44
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.42%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:45
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 10:41
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-03 10:45
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.60%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-03 10:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 10:35
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -15.90%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-03 10:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:51
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-05-03 10:45