Örebro SK v IFK Värnamo

2026-08-03 17:05 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

44%

30%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Prediction 43.71%2.29fair odd

EV -6.01%

Edge -2.80%

Kelly -5.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.80%43.55%43.68%44.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.082.102.1550.00%47.98%47.62%46.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IFK Värnamo (Visit)

Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd

EV -6.27%

Edge -2.02%

Kelly -2.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.85%30.26%30.21%30.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.803.003.003.1035.71%33.37%33.33%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd

EV -6.22%

Edge -1.73%

Kelly -2.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.55%26.18%26.11%27.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.253.433.423.6030.77%29.18%29.20%27.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 30.35%EV -7.17%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25%NM 26.32%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-27 10:00
Marathon Bet	2.13I 46.95%NM 43.52%EV -6.89%E -3.23%K -6.10%G +0.000%	3.06I 32.68%NM 30.29%EV -7.48%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-27 09:55
Betsson	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -7.33%E -3.46%K -6.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-27 09:25
NordicBet	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -7.33%E -3.46%K -6.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-27 09:25
FanDuel	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-27 09:44
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-27 10:10
William Hill	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-27 10:10
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-27 10:10
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-27 10:10
LeoVegas	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -9.07%E -4.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.13%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-07-27 09:25
Paddy Power	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-27 09:43
SportsBet	2.03I 49.26%NM 43.53%EV -11.26%E -5.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.31%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-07-27 09:40
BoyleSports	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.57%E -6.29%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-07-27 10:00
Sky Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -12.57%E -6.29%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.34%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-07-27 09:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.