Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örebro SK v IFK Värnamo

Início: 2026-08-03 17:05 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 1–3 IFK Värnamo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örebro SK (Local)

Previsão 37.39%2.67odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.487%
Kelly -0.784%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.62%37.52%37.23%39.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.432.452.6444.44%41.22%40.82%37.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Previsão 34.94%2.86odd justa
EV -0.409%
Vantagem -0.143%
Kelly -0.221%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.62%34.82%35.01%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.55%37.74%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.66%3.61odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -0.907%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.48%27.66%27.76%29.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.313.353.5032.26%30.20%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Örebro SK (Local): 37.39%; IFK Värnamo (Visitante): 34.94%; Empate: 27.66%. Para IFK Värnamo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.86. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.85, com valor esperado de -0.409%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 16:59
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 16:59
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25%EV -5.30%E -1.96%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.01%EV -5.67%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 17:00
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 16:59
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 17:00
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.80%EV -5.03%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 17:00
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.80%E -3.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.60%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 16:19
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -7.64%E -3.09%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.18%E -0.907%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 16:54
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 16:58
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-03 17:00
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 16:59
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-03 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 16:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 16:54
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 16:44
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-03 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:40
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:40
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:40
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 16:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -14.75%E -6.47%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -15.87%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-03 16:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-03 16:45