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Örebro SK v IFK Värnamo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Örebro SK (Хозяева)
Прогноз 37.39%2.67справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.29%
Преимущество -0.487%
Kelly -0.784%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.64
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.62%37.52%37.23%39.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.432.452.6444.44%41.22%40.82%37.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
IFK Värnamo (Гости)
Прогноз 34.94%2.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.409%
Преимущество -0.143%
Kelly -0.221%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.62%34.82%35.01%36.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.55%37.74%35.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.66%3.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.18%
Преимущество -0.907%
Kelly -1.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.48%27.66%27.76%29.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.313.353.5032.26%30.20%29.85%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Örebro SK (Хозяева): 37.39%; IFK Värnamo (Гости): 34.94%; Ничья: 27.66%. Для исхода «IFK Värnamo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.86. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.85, математическое ожидание — -0.409%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25%EV -5.30%E -1.96%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.01%EV -5.67%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.80%EV -5.03%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.80%E -3.37%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.60%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -7.64%E -3.09%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.18%E -0.907%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 16:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -14.75%E -6.47%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -15.87%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |