Idioma:Español
Örebro SK v IFK Värnamo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Örebro SK (Local)
Predicción 37.39%2.67momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.487%
Kelly -0.784%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.62%37.52%37.23%39.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.452.6444.44%41.22%40.82%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IFK Värnamo (Visitante)
Predicción 34.94%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.409%
Ventaja -0.143%
Kelly -0.221%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.62%34.82%35.01%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.55%37.74%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.66%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -0.907%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.66%27.76%29.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.353.5032.26%30.20%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Örebro SK (Local): 37.39%; IFK Värnamo (Visitante): 34.94%; Empate: 27.66%. Para IFK Värnamo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.86. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.85, con un valor esperado de -0.409%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25%EV -5.30%E -1.96%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.01%EV -5.67%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.80%EV -5.03%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.80%E -3.37%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.60%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -7.64%E -3.09%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.18%E -0.907%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 16:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.409%E -0.143%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -2.16%E -0.770%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.45%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -14.75%E -6.47%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -15.87%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |