Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 2.07
assuming max odds 3.76
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 26.62%; IFK Norrkoping (Visit): 47.44%; Draw: 25.95%. For Örebro SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -2.85%E -0.780%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.37%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -7.91%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.70%E -0.721%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -11.77%E -6.33%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -22.16%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -17.49%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -11.29%E -6.04%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |