L’École des cotes

Örebro SK v IFK Norrkoping

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 17:00 UTC

Score final : Örebro SK 2–1 IFK Norrkoping

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Prévision 26.62%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.562%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%26.60%26.62%28.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.37%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.44%2.11cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.872%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.43%47.46%47.41%49.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0754.64%51.04%51.28%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.95%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.650%
Kelly -0.886%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.84%25.93%25.97%28.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.503.7633.33%28.55%28.57%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:45
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:45
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:45
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -2.85%E -0.780%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:14
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:54
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 16:55
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 16:45
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:45
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:50
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 16:55
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.37%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:55
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -7.91%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.886%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:55
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:50
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:45
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:45
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.70%E -0.721%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 16:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 16:50
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 16:20
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 16:55
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 16:55
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 16:55
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 16:45
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 16:45
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 16:55
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:25
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:40
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -11.77%E -6.33%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -22.16%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-21 16:55
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 16:10
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -17.49%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -11.29%E -6.04%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-21 16:55
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-21 16:55