A Escola das Odds

Örebro SK v IFK Norrkoping

Início: 2026-04-21 17:00 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 2–1 IFK Norrkoping

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Previsão 26.62%3.76odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.410%
Kelly -0.562%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.60%26.62%28.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.37%29.41%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Previsão 47.44%2.11odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.872%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.43%47.46%47.41%49.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.961.952.0754.64%51.04%51.28%48.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.95%3.85odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.650%
Kelly -0.886%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.84%25.93%25.97%28.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.503.503.7633.33%28.55%28.57%26.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:45
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:45
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:45
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -2.85%E -0.780%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:14
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:54
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 16:55
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 16:45
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:45
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:50
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 16:55
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.37%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:55
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -7.91%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.886%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:55
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:50
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:45
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:45
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.70%E -0.721%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 16:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 16:50
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 16:20
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 16:55
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 16:55
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 16:55
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 16:45
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 16:50
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 16:45
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 16:55
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:25
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:40
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -11.77%E -6.33%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -22.16%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-21 16:55
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 16:10
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -17.49%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -11.29%E -6.04%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-21 16:55
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-04-21 16:55