La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Örebro SK v IFK Norrkoping
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Örebro SK (Local)
Predicción 26.62%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.562%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.60%26.62%28.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.37%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)
Predicción 47.44%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.872%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.43%47.46%47.41%49.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.0754.64%51.04%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.95%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.650%
Kelly -0.886%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.84%25.93%25.97%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.7633.33%28.55%28.57%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetAnything | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.52%E -0.410%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -2.85%E -0.780%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 16:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -5.60%E -2.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.37%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -7.91%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.70%E -0.721%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -1.80%E -0.872%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.87%E -5.19%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.01%EV -11.77%E -6.33%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -12.16%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.19%E -7.21%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -22.16%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -17.49%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -11.29%E -6.04%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |