Language:English
Norrby IF v Varbergs BoIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Norrby IF (Local)
Prediction 32.18%3.11fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.12%32.07%32.16%33.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.803.0037.74%35.26%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visit)
Prediction 41.25%2.42fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.76%41.38%41.25%44.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.202.3948.78%45.13%45.45%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.55%26.59%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.403.6530.77%29.32%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 32.18%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 41.25%; Draw: 26.57%. For Varbergs BoIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.39, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -15.44%E -7.53%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -4.09%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -8.01%E -3.59%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.55%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.21%EV -10.08%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -1.41%E -0.591%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.49%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 16:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -10.90%E -5.05%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.38%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-14 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.71%E -5.55%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.10%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |