Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Norrby IF v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 17:00 UTC

Score final : Norrby IF 1–2 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prévision 32.18%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.12%32.07%32.16%33.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.803.0037.74%35.26%35.71%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.25%2.42cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.591%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.76%41.38%41.25%44.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.202.3948.78%45.13%45.45%41.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -0.831%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%26.55%26.59%27.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.413.403.6530.77%29.32%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Norrby IF (Local) : 32.18% ; Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur) : 41.25% ; Match nul : 26.57%. Pour Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.42. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.39, pour une espérance de -1.41% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:56
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:56
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:56
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -15.44%E -7.53%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:46
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -4.09%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -8.01%E -3.59%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.55%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 16:56
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.21%EV -10.08%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:56
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -1.41%E -0.591%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.49%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 16:46
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:54
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 16:46
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 16:45
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 16:46
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:45
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:46
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 16:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -10.90%E -5.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 16:31
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:46
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:56
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 16:46
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:55
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 16:30
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 16:46
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.38%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.71%E -5.55%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.10%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-14 16:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-14 16:56
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-09-14 16:56