Idioma:Español
Norrby IF v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Norrby IF (Local)
Predicción 32.18%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.12%32.07%32.16%33.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.842.803.0037.74%35.26%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 41.25%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.591%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.76%41.38%41.25%44.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.202.3948.78%45.13%45.45%41.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.57%3.76momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -0.831%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.78%26.55%26.59%27.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.413.403.6530.77%29.32%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Norrby IF (Local): 32.18%; Varbergs BoIS (Visitante): 41.25%; Empate: 26.57%. Para Varbergs BoIS (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.39, con un valor esperado de -1.41%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -15.44%E -7.53%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -4.09%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -8.01%E -3.59%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.55%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.21%EV -10.08%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -1.41%E -0.591%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.49%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 16:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -10.90%E -5.05%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.38%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-14 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.71%E -5.55%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.10%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |