Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norrby IF v Varbergs BoIS

Início: 2026-09-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 1–2 Varbergs BoIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norrby IF (Local)

Previsão 32.18%3.11odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.12%32.07%32.16%33.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.842.803.0037.74%35.26%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)

Previsão 41.25%2.42odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.591%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.76%41.38%41.25%44.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.222.202.3948.78%45.13%45.45%41.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.57%3.76odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -0.831%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.78%26.55%26.59%27.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.413.403.6530.77%29.32%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Norrby IF (Local): 32.18%; Varbergs BoIS (Visitante): 41.25%; Empate: 26.57%. Para Varbergs BoIS (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.42. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.39, com valor esperado de -1.41%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:56
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:56
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.52%EV -6.78%E -3.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:56
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -15.44%E -7.53%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:46
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -4.09%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -8.01%E -3.59%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.55%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 16:56
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.21%EV -10.08%E -4.62%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:56
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -1.41%E -0.591%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.49%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 16:46
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:54
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 16:46
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 16:45
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 16:46
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:45
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:45
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:46
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 16:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -10.90%E -5.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 16:31
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:46
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:56
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 16:46
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:55
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 16:30
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.19%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 16:46
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.38%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.71%E -5.55%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.10%EV -12.55%E -5.92%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-14 16:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-14 16:56
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-09-14 16:56