Language:English
Nordic United FC v Falkenbergs FF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nordic United FC (Local)
Prediction 46.96%2.13fair odd
EV +0.490%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.430%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.35%46.80%47.11%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.991.982.1454.64%50.18%50.51%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Falkenbergs FF (Visit)
Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.37%27.14%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.273.5532.26%30.19%30.53%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -0.830%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.63%25.83%25.75%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nordic United FC (Local): 46.96%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 27.20%; Draw: 25.84%. For Nordic United FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.490%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV +0.490%E +0.229%K +0.430%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 04:06 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.66%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.42%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 02:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.24%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 04:11 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -22.49%E -7.50%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -12.66%E -6.81%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 05:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |