Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC v Falkenbergs FF

Início: 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 1–4 Falkenbergs FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Previsão 46.96%2.13odd justa
EV +0.490%
Vantagem +0.229%
Kelly +0.430%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.35%46.80%47.11%49.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.991.982.1454.64%50.18%50.51%46.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Previsão 27.20%3.68odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.74%27.37%27.14%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.313.273.5532.26%30.19%30.53%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.84%3.87odd justa
EV -3.11%
Vantagem -0.830%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.63%25.83%25.75%28.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nordic United FC (Local): 46.96%; Falkenbergs FF (Visitante): 27.20%; Empate: 25.84%. Para Nordic United FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.14, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.490%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV +0.490%E +0.229%K +0.430%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 04:06
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.66%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.42%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 02:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 02:00
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 02:30
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.24%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 07:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 04:11
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:38
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 07:05
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 04:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -22.49%E -7.50%K -11.24%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -12.66%E -6.81%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 05:01
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-17 00:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40