La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Nordic United FC v Falkenbergs FF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nordic United FC (Local)
Predicción 46.96%2.13momio equitativo
EV +0.490%
Ventaja +0.229%
Kelly +0.430%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.35%46.80%47.11%49.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.991.982.1454.64%50.18%50.51%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)
Predicción 27.20%3.68momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%27.37%27.14%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.273.5532.26%30.19%30.53%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.84%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -0.830%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.63%25.83%25.75%28.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV +0.490%E +0.229%K +0.430%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 04:06 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.66%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.42%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| BetUS | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 02:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.24%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 04:11 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -22.49%E -7.50%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -12.66%E -6.81%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 05:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |