Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nordic United FC v Falkenbergs FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

Score final : Nordic United FC 1–4 Falkenbergs FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prévision 46.96%2.13cote équitable
EV +0.490%
Avantage +0.229%
Kelly +0.430%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.35%46.80%47.11%49.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.991.982.1454.64%50.18%50.51%46.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%27.37%27.14%29.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.273.5532.26%30.19%30.53%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -0.830%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.63%25.83%25.75%28.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nordic United FC (Local) : 46.96% ; Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur) : 27.20% ; Match nul : 25.84%. Pour Nordic United FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.13. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.14, soit une espérance positive de +0.490%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%EV +0.490%E +0.229%K +0.430%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -1.39%E -0.661%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 04:06
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.66%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.42%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 02:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.02%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 02:00
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 02:30
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.24%EV -7.49%E -3.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 07:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.47%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 04:11
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:38
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 07:05
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 00:15
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 04:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -22.49%E -7.50%K -11.24%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -12.66%E -6.81%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -14.74%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 05:01
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -12.94%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -9.57%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-17 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40