Language:English
Ljungskile SK v Varbergs BoIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ljungskile SK (Local)
Prediction 37.04%2.70fair odd
EV +5.58%
Edge +1.96%
Kelly +3.01%
Growth +0.168%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.51%36.81%37.22%38.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.8543.48%39.99%40.00%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visit)
Prediction 34.83%2.87fair odd
EV -0.382%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.206%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.90%35.03%34.72%38.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.8641.67%38.27%38.46%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.861%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%28.17%28.05%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.303.4534.72%30.65%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ljungskile SK (Local): 37.04%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 34.83%; Draw: 28.12%. For Ljungskile SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV +5.58%E +1.96%K +3.01%G +0.168% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.82%EV -14.32%E -5.82%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.31%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.39%EV -0.382%E -0.134%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -3.17%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 10:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -13.62%E -5.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.66%E -5.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-30 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.40%E -6.84%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.00%E -6.60%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |