A Escola das Odds

Ljungskile SK v Varbergs BoIS

Início: 2026-05-30 11:00 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 1–3 Varbergs BoIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Previsão 37.04%2.70odd justa
EV +5.58%
Vantagem +1.96%
Kelly +3.01%
Crescimento +0.168%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.51%36.81%37.22%38.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.502.502.8543.48%39.99%40.00%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)

Previsão 34.83%2.87odd justa
EV -0.382%
Vantagem -0.134%
Kelly -0.206%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.90%35.03%34.72%38.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.612.602.8641.67%38.27%38.46%34.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.12%3.56odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -0.861%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.06%28.17%28.05%30.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.263.303.4534.72%30.65%30.30%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV +5.58%E +1.96%K +3.01%G +0.168%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.82%EV -14.32%E -5.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:19
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:20
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 10:40
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.31%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.39%EV -0.382%E -0.134%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 10:40
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -3.17%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 10:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:19
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:19
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 10:50
BetAnything2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 10:48
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:40
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:50
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:40
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 10:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 10:40
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -13.62%E -5.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 10:20
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 10:49
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 10:50
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 10:40
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 10:40
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 10:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.66%E -5.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-30 10:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 10:50
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 10:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-30 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-30 10:40
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.40%E -6.84%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.00%E -6.60%K -10.11%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-30 10:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-30 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-30 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-30 10:40