Idioma:Español
Ljungskile SK v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ljungskile SK (Local)
Predicción 37.04%2.70momio equitativo
EV +5.58%
Ventaja +1.96%
Kelly +3.01%
Crecimiento +0.168%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.51%36.81%37.22%38.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.8543.48%39.99%40.00%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 34.83%2.87momio equitativo
EV -0.382%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.206%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.90%35.03%34.72%38.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.8641.67%38.27%38.46%34.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -0.861%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%28.17%28.05%30.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.303.4534.72%30.65%30.30%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ljungskile SK (Local): 37.04%; Varbergs BoIS (Visitante): 34.83%; Empate: 28.12%. Para Ljungskile SK (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.70. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.58%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV +5.58%E +1.96%K +3.01%G +0.168% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.82%EV -14.32%E -5.82%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.31%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.39%EV -0.382%E -0.134%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -3.17%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 10:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -13.62%E -5.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.66%E -5.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-30 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.40%E -6.84%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.00%E -6.60%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |