L’École des cotes

Ljungskile SK v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 11:00 UTC

Score final : Ljungskile SK 1–3 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 37.04%2.70cote équitable
EV +5.58%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +3.01%
Croissance +0.168%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.51%36.81%37.22%38.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.8543.48%39.99%40.00%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.83%2.87cote équitable
EV -0.382%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.206%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.90%35.03%34.72%38.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.8641.67%38.27%38.46%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -0.861%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.06%28.17%28.05%30.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.303.4534.72%30.65%30.30%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV +5.58%E +1.96%K +3.01%G +0.168%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.82%EV -14.32%E -5.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:19
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:20
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 10:40
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.31%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.39%EV -0.382%E -0.134%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 10:40
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -5.17%E -2.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -3.17%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 10:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:19
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:19
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -11.18%E -4.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 10:50
BetAnything2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -5.91%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -1.78%E -0.630%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 10:48
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:40
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.56%E -3.32%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 10:50
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:40
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 10:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 10:40
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -6.65%E -2.48%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -13.62%E -5.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 10:20
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.96%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 10:49
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 10:50
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 10:40
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 10:40
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -4.21%E -1.53%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 10:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -8.74%E -3.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.66%E -5.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-30 10:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 10:50
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 10:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-30 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-30 10:40
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.40%E -6.84%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 10:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -9.44%E -3.63%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.63%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.80%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.92%E -5.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.00%E -6.60%K -10.11%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-30 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-30 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-30 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-30 10:40