Language:English
IK Brage v Örebro SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Brage (Local)
Prediction 49.87%2.01fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.57%49.79%49.99%52.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.851.9458.14%53.84%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Örebro SK (Visit)
Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.470%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%24.93%24.78%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.583.603.9731.25%27.90%27.78%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.30%3.95fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.376%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%25.28%25.23%27.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.613.603.9130.30%27.74%27.78%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 49.87%; Örebro SK (Visit): 24.84%; Draw: 25.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.91, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -1.89%E -0.479%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 16:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.04%EV -9.95%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 16:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.57%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -19.28%E -5.93%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.03%EV -1.40%E -0.352%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -1.09%E -0.280%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.52%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.52%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.24%E -5.08%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -11.24%E -6.31%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.73%E -7.94%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -14.23%E -8.27%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 16:50 |