默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IK Brage v Örebro SK

2026-08-14 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

44%

30%

26%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IK Brage (主队)

预测 44.27%2.26公平赔率

EV -7.03%

优势 -3.35%

Kelly -6.39%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

44.07%44.27%44.27%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.982.062.042.1050.51%48.63%49.02%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Örebro SK (客队)

预测 29.66%3.37公平赔率

EV -6.56%

优势 -2.08%

Kelly -3.05%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布

29.59%29.66%29.66%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.953.073.053.1533.90%32.55%32.79%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.06%3.84公平赔率

EV -6.17%

优势 -1.71%

Kelly -2.37%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布

25.81%26.06%26.06%26.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.353.503.453.6029.85%28.60%28.99%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：IK Brage (主队)：44.27%；Örebro SK (客队)：29.66%；平局：26.06%。对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-6.17%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-07 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-07 17:10
NordicBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-07 17:10
Betsson🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-07 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-07 17:11
Svenska Spel🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-07 17:11
1xBet🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 44.28%EV -7.47%E -3.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.66%EV -7.45%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-07 17:30
LeoVegas🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-08-07 17:10
Unibet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.68%E -4.75%K -9.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-07 17:10
TABtouch🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.68%E -4.75%K -9.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-07 17:10
Casumo🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.68%E -4.75%K -9.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-07 17:11
Grosvenor🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.68%E -4.75%K -9.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-07 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.68%E -4.75%K -9.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-07 17:10
betPARX🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.68%E -4.75%K -9.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-07 17:09
BetRivers🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -10.57%E -5.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-08-07 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -12.34%E -6.23%K -12.59%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-08-07 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -12.34%E -6.23%K -12.59%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-08-07 17:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。