Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Brage v Örebro SK

Início: 2026-08-14 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 3–3 Örebro SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Brage (Local)

Previsão 49.87%2.01odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.57%49.79%49.99%52.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.861.851.9458.14%53.84%54.05%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Previsão 24.84%4.03odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.352%
Kelly -0.470%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.76%24.93%24.78%27.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.583.603.9731.25%27.90%27.78%25.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.30%3.95odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.280%
Kelly -0.376%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.76%25.28%25.23%27.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.613.603.9130.30%27.74%27.78%25.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IK Brage (Local): 49.87%; Örebro SK (Visitante): 24.84%; Empate: 25.30%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.95. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.91, com valor esperado de -1.09%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -1.89%E -0.479%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 16:45
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 16:44
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:44
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 16:43
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 16:49
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.04%EV -9.95%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 16:53
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.57%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -19.28%E -5.93%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 16:44
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.03%EV -1.40%E -0.352%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -1.09%E -0.280%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:04
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 12:59
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 12:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 16:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.52%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.52%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-14 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:54
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 12:14
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 12:14
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 12:09
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.24%E -5.08%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 12:14
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -11.24%E -6.31%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-14 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.73%E -7.94%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -14.23%E -8.27%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-14 16:55
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-14 16:50