Idioma:Español
IK Brage v Örebro SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Brage (Local)
Predicción 49.87%2.01momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.57%49.79%49.99%52.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.851.9458.14%53.84%54.05%51.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Örebro SK (Visitante)
Predicción 24.84%4.03momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.352%
Kelly -0.470%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%24.93%24.78%27.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.583.603.9731.25%27.90%27.78%25.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.30%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.280%
Kelly -0.376%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%25.28%25.23%27.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.613.603.9130.30%27.74%27.78%25.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IK Brage (Local): 49.87%; Örebro SK (Visitante): 24.84%; Empate: 25.30%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.95. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.91, con un valor esperado de -1.09%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -1.89%E -0.479%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 16:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.04%EV -9.95%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 16:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.57%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -19.28%E -5.93%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.03%EV -1.40%E -0.352%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -1.09%E -0.280%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -16.52%E -5.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.52%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.52%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.14%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.24%E -5.08%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -11.24%E -6.31%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.73%E -7.94%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -14.23%E -8.27%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 16:50 |