Language:English
IK Brage v IFK Värnamo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Brage (Local)
Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.00%44.17%44.02%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.1951.28%48.04%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Värnamo (Visit)
Prediction 30.42%3.29fair odd
EV +0.382%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.91%30.30%30.47%32.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.3037.04%33.06%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.50%3.92fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.93%25.53%25.51%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.563.603.7633.33%28.08%27.78%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 44.08%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 30.42%; Draw: 25.50%. For IFK Värnamo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.382%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -7.87%E -3.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV +0.382%E +0.116%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -5.39%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -10.96%E -5.42%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-21 12:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.31%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.35%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -3.46%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.86%EV -4.12%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -23.50%E -7.83%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -17.87%E -6.62%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 1.6% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |