A Escola das Odds

IK Brage v IFK Värnamo

Início: 2026-06-21 13:02 UTC

Final: IK Brage 5–1 IFK Värnamo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Previsão 44.08%2.27odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.00%44.17%44.02%46.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.082.102.1951.28%48.04%47.62%45.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Previsão 30.42%3.29odd justa
EV +0.382%
Vantagem +0.116%
Kelly +0.166%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.91%30.30%30.47%32.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.023.003.3037.04%33.06%33.33%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.50%3.92odd justa
EV -4.12%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.93%25.53%25.51%28.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.563.603.7633.33%28.08%27.78%26.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -7.87%E -3.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV +0.382%E +0.116%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:59
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:00
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -5.39%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 12:59
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 12:59
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 13:00
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:58
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -10.96%E -5.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-21 12:48
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-21 13:00
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.31%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 12:59
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 12:59
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 13:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 12:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.35%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:59
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:59
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-21 12:59
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-21 13:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 12:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-21 13:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 13:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:58
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:58
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:58
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -3.46%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.86%EV -4.12%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 12:58
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 12:58
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-21 12:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-21 13:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 13:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.0%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -23.50%E -7.83%K -11.75%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-21 13:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -17.87%E -6.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-21 12:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-06-21 13:00
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%1.6%2026-06-21 13:00