La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IK Brage v IFK Värnamo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Brage (Local)
Predicción 44.08%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.00%44.17%44.02%46.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.102.1951.28%48.04%47.62%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Värnamo (Visitante)
Predicción 30.42%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.382%
Ventaja +0.116%
Kelly +0.166%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.91%30.30%30.47%32.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.003.3037.04%33.06%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.50%3.92momio equitativo
EV -4.12%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.93%25.53%25.51%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.563.603.7633.33%28.08%27.78%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -7.87%E -3.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV +0.382%E +0.116%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -5.39%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -10.96%E -5.42%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-21 12:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.31%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.35%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -3.46%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.86%EV -4.12%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-21 12:58 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -23.50%E -7.83%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -17.87%E -6.62%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-06-21 12:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 1.6% | 2026-06-21 13:00 |