L’École des cotes

IK Brage v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 13:02 UTC

Score final : IK Brage 5–1 IFK Värnamo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Prévision 44.08%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.00%44.17%44.02%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.102.1951.28%48.04%47.62%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.42%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.382%
Avantage +0.116%
Kelly +0.166%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.91%30.30%30.47%32.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.003.3037.04%33.06%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.50%3.92cote équitable
EV -4.12%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.93%25.53%25.51%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.563.603.7633.33%28.08%27.78%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -7.87%E -3.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV +0.382%E +0.116%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:59
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.31%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.66%E -0.831%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:00
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -5.39%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 12:59
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 12:59
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 13:00
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:58
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.08%E -4.94%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -10.96%E -5.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-21 12:48
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-21 13:00
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.31%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 12:59
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 12:59
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 13:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 12:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.35%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:59
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:59
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-21 12:59
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.27%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-21 13:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 12:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-21 13:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 13:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:58
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:58
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.79%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:58
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -3.46%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.86%EV -4.12%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 12:58
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 12:58
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-21 12:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-21 13:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 13:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.0%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.83%E -5.30%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -23.50%E -7.83%K -11.75%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-21 13:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -17.87%E -6.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-21 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-06-21 13:00
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%1.6%2026-06-21 13:00