The School of Odds

IFK Värnamo v Ljungskile SK

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 13:00 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 2–3 Ljungskile SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prediction 41.54%2.41fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%41.49%41.63%42.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.222.222.3048%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ljungskile SK (Visit)

Prediction 31.37%3.19fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.549%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.77%31.45%31.21%34.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.903.1538%34%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%27.06%27.16%28.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.5531%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:45
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.71%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.10%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 12:45
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -2.12%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 12:45
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.43%EV -4.10%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 12:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 12:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 12:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -16.87%E -6.36%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 12:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 12:40
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.53%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:35
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:35
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.75%E -0.887%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:44
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:35
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 12:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 12:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 12:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 12:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 12:40
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 12:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.65%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 12:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 12:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -12.77%E -6.08%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.30%E -5.67%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-19 12:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 41.79%EV -13.60%E -6.54%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55