The School of Odds

IFK Värnamo v Ljungskile SK

2026-07-19 13:00 — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: IFK Värnamo (Local)

2.4041.67%Min
2.5639.01%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.6637.59%Max
34.68%2.883Min
37.88%2.640Max
35.79%2.794Mean
35.62%2.807Median
35.44%2.822IQM
36.01%2.777Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.66 under the IQM model: 35.44%

EV -5.73%Edge -2.15%Kelly -3.45%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Ljungskile SK (Visit)

2.2544.44%Min
2.4041.59%Mean
2.4041.67%Median
2.7536.36%Max
34.57%2.893Min
38.96%2.567Max
37.46%2.669Mean
38.09%2.625Median
37.90%2.638IQM
37.25%2.685Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 37.90%

EV +4.23%Edge +1.54%Kelly +2.42%Growth +0.102%

Option 3: Draw

3.2530.77%Min
3.4129.31%Mean
3.4229.20%Median
3.6027.78%Max
25.84%3.871Min
27.75%3.604Max
26.75%3.739Mean
26.29%3.804Median
26.66%3.751IQM
26.74%3.740Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 26.66%

EV -4.03%Edge -1.12%Kelly -1.55%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerIFK Värnamo (Local)Ljungskile SK (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.51I 39.84% NM 37.88%EV -11.04% E -4.40% K -7.31% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.57%EV +4.23% E +1.54% K +2.42% G +0.102%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.56%EV -8.03% E -2.33% K -3.28% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-02 14:34
FanDuel2.60I 38.46% NM 35.93%EV -7.85% E -3.02% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.13%EV -7.14% E -2.91% K -4.92% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.95%EV -4.03% E -1.12% K -1.55% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:19
Betsson2.62I 38.17% NM 35.62%EV -7.15% E -2.73% K -4.41% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.09%EV -7.14% E -2.91% K -4.92% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.29%EV -5.36% E -1.51% K -2.10% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 13:19
NordicBet2.62I 38.17% NM 35.62%EV -7.15% E -2.73% K -4.41% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.09%EV -7.14% E -2.91% K -4.92% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.29%EV -5.36% E -1.51% K -2.10% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 13:19
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22% NM 35.56%EV -9.63% E -3.78% K -6.21% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.78%EV -9.04% E -3.77% K -6.45% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.67%EV -9.36% E -2.75% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-02 10:20
888sport2.60I 38.46% NM 34.68%EV -7.85% E -3.02% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.57%EV -9.04% E -3.77% K -6.45% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.75%EV -13.36% E -4.11% K -5.94% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:00
William Hill2.60I 38.46% NM 34.68%EV -7.85% E -3.02% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.57%EV -9.04% E -3.77% K -6.45% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.75%EV -13.36% E -4.11% K -5.94% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 13:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 34.68%EV -7.85% E -3.02% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.57%EV -9.04% E -3.77% K -6.45% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.75%EV -13.36% E -4.11% K -5.94% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 34.68%EV -7.85% E -3.02% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.57%EV -9.04% E -3.77% K -6.45% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.75%EV -13.36% E -4.11% K -5.94% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 13:59
1xBet2.66I 37.59% NM 34.85%EV -5.73% E -2.15% K -3.45% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.96%EV -9.79% E -4.12% K -7.10% G +0.000%3.54I 28.25% NM 26.19%EV -5.63% E -1.59% K -2.22% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59% NM 34.85%EV -5.73% E -2.15% K -3.45% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.96%EV -9.79% E -4.12% K -7.10% G +0.000%3.54I 28.25% NM 26.19%EV -5.63% E -1.59% K -2.22% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.71%EV -9.63% E -3.78% K -6.21% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.27%EV -9.79% E -4.12% K -7.10% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.02%EV -6.70% E -1.91% K -2.68% G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 13:39
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00% NM 36.17%EV -11.40% E -4.56% K -7.60% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 37.99%EV -9.79% E -4.12% K -7.10% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.84%EV -6.70% E -1.91% K -2.68% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 13:19
SportsBet2.50I 40.00% NM 35.43%EV -11.40% E -4.56% K -7.60% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 38.51%EV -12.83% E -5.58% K -9.87% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.05%EV -9.36% E -2.75% K -3.90% G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 13:19
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82% NM 35.47%EV -13.17% E -5.38% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 37.79%EV -12.83% E -5.58% K -9.87% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.74%EV -13.36% E -4.11% K -5.94% G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-30 13:19
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67% NM 35.79%EV -14.94% E -6.23% K -10.67% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 38.18%EV -14.72% E -6.54% K -11.78% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.03%EV -12.03% E -3.65% K -5.23% G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-30 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth