مدرسة الاحتمالات

IFK Värnamo v Ljungskile SK

البداية: 2026-07-19 13:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: IFK Värnamo 2–3 Ljungskile SK

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

IFK Värnamo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.54%2.41السعر العادل
EV -4.46%
الأفضلية -1.94%
Kelly -3.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.89%41.49%41.63%42.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.082.222.222.3048.08%45.14%45.05%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ljungskile SK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.37%3.19السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.375%
Kelly -0.549%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.77%31.45%31.21%34.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.912.903.1537.74%34.42%34.48%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.09%3.69السعر العادل
EV -3.83%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.80%27.06%27.16%28.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.393.403.5531.25%29.47%29.41%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:45
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.71%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.10%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 12:45
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -2.12%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 12:45
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.43%EV -4.10%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 12:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 12:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 12:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -16.87%E -6.36%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 12:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 12:40
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.53%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:35
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:35
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.75%E -0.887%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:44
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:35
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 12:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 12:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 12:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 12:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 12:40
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 12:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.65%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 12:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 12:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -12.77%E -6.08%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.30%E -5.67%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-19 12:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 41.79%EV -13.60%E -6.54%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-19 12:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55