La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
IFK Värnamo v Ljungskile SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Predicción 41.54%2.41momio equitativo
EV -4.46%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%41.49%41.63%42.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.222.222.3048.08%45.14%45.05%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ljungskile SK (Visitante)
Predicción 31.37%3.19momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.549%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.77%31.45%31.21%34.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.912.903.1537.74%34.42%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.09%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%27.06%27.16%28.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.403.5531.25%29.47%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.71%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.10%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 12:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -2.12%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.43%EV -4.10%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -16.87%E -6.36%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.53%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 12:45 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-19 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-19 12:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.75%E -0.887%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 12:44 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-19 12:35 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-19 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.65%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-19 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -12.77%E -6.08%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.30%E -5.67%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.79%EV -13.60%E -6.54%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 12:55 |