La scuola delle quote

IFK Värnamo v Ljungskile SK

Inizio: 2026-07-19 13:00 UTC

Finale: IFK Värnamo 2–3 Ljungskile SK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

IFK Värnamo (Casa)

Previsione 41.54%2.41quota equa
EV -4.46%
Vantaggio -1.94%
Kelly -3.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.89%41.49%41.63%42.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.222.222.3048.08%45.14%45.05%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ljungskile SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.37%3.19quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.375%
Kelly -0.549%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.77%31.45%31.21%34.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.912.903.1537.74%34.42%34.48%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.09%3.69quota equa
EV -3.83%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.80%27.06%27.16%28.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.393.403.5531.25%29.47%29.41%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:45
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 12:50
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.71%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.10%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 12:45
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.16%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -2.12%E -0.680%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 12:45
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -6.12%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.71%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.43%EV -4.10%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 12:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 12:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 12:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -16.87%E -6.36%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 12:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 12:40
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.53%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.43%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:35
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:35
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -1.18%E -0.375%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 12:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.75%E -0.887%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:44
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:35
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 12:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 12:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 12:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 12:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 12:40
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.45%E -4.33%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 12:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.65%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 12:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.69%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 12:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -12.77%E -6.08%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.30%E -5.67%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-19 12:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 41.79%EV -13.60%E -6.54%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-07-19 12:55