A Escola das Odds

IFK Värnamo v GIF Sundsvall

Início: 2026-04-14 17:02 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 3–0 GIF Sundsvall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Previsão 50.79%1.97odd justa
EV -5.54%
Vantagem -2.98%
Kelly -6.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.08%50.83%50.65%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.791.801.8659.52%55.76%55.56%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Previsão 22.73%4.40odd justa
EV +6.82%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescimento +0.126%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.28%22.63%22.95%25.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.064.004.7028.57%24.66%25.00%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.49%3.78odd justa
EV +0.652%
Vantagem +0.172%
Kelly +0.233%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.61%26.54%26.41%28.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.493.503.8033.33%28.62%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +6.82%E +1.45%K +1.84%G +0.126%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 16:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.04%EV -2.05%E -0.475%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.61%EV -5.44%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:01
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:00
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:01
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -13.66%E -8.04%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -11.63%E -6.69%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -11.63%E -6.69%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.04%EV -9.60%E -5.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:01
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:01
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:00
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:01
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.38%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.38%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 17:01
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -14.68%E -8.74%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-14 17:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:58
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 16:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 17:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-14 16:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 17:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-14 17:01
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -9.77%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.70%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:58
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 17:00
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:59
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 16:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 16:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-14 17:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -11.13%E -6.36%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.89%E -5.77%K -8.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-14 17:01
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.50%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 17:00
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-14 17:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 16:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-14 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-14 17:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -20.45%E -5.84%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-14 17:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-14 17:01
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-04-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-04-14 17:01