مدرسة الاحتمالات

IFK Värnamo v GIF Sundsvall

البداية: 2026-04-14 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: IFK Värnamo 3–0 GIF Sundsvall

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

IFK Värnamo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.79%1.97السعر العادل
EV -5.54%
الأفضلية -2.98%
Kelly -6.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.08%50.83%50.65%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.791.801.8659.52%55.76%55.56%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

GIF Sundsvall (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.73%4.40السعر العادل
EV +6.82%
الأفضلية +1.45%
Kelly +1.84%
النمو +0.126%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.28%22.63%22.95%25.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.064.004.7028.57%24.66%25.00%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.49%3.78السعر العادل
EV +0.652%
الأفضلية +0.172%
Kelly +0.233%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.61%26.54%26.41%28.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.493.503.8033.33%28.62%28.57%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +6.82%E +1.45%K +1.84%G +0.126%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 16:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.04%EV -2.05%E -0.475%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.61%EV -5.44%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:01
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:00
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.4%2026-04-14 17:01
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -13.66%E -8.04%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -11.63%E -6.69%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -11.63%E -6.69%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.04%EV -9.60%E -5.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:01
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:01
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:00
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 17:01
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.38%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.38%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 17:01
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -14.68%E -8.74%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-14 17:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:58
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 16:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 17:00
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-14 16:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 17:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-14 17:01
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -9.77%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.70%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:58
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 17:00
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:59
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 16:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-14 16:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-14 17:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -11.13%E -6.36%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.89%E -5.77%K -8.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-14 17:01
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.50%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 17:00
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-14 17:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 16:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-14 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-14 17:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -20.45%E -5.84%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-14 17:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-14 17:01
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-04-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-04-14 17:01