L’École des cotesFrançais
IFK Värnamo v GIF Sundsvall
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Prévision 50.79%1.97cote équitable
EV -5.54%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -6.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.08%50.83%50.65%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.791.801.8659.52%55.76%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
GIF Sundsvall (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.73%4.40cote équitable
EV +6.82%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.126%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%22.63%22.95%25.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.064.004.7028.57%24.66%25.00%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.49%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.652%
Avantage +0.172%
Kelly +0.233%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.61%26.54%26.41%28.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.493.503.8033.33%28.62%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +6.82%E +1.45%K +1.84%G +0.126% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.04%EV -2.05%E -0.475%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.61%EV -5.44%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.62%E -6.03%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV +0.652%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -13.66%E -8.04%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -11.63%E -6.69%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -11.63%E -6.69%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.672%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.04%EV -9.60%E -5.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.65%E -7.35%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.00%E -0.540%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.38%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.38%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -14.68%E -8.74%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:58 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -9.77%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.70%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 16:58 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -11.13%E -6.36%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -17.89%E -5.77%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.50%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -20.45%E -5.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 17:01 |