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Falkenbergs FF v Varbergs BoIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Falkenbergs FF (Local)
Prediction 34.47%2.90fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.495%
Kelly -0.762%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.90%34.70%34.53%37.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.612.622.8642.02%38.31%38.17%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visit)
Prediction 36.95%2.71fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.588%
Kelly +0.925%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.24%36.67%37.02%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.522.7543.48%39.50%39.68%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.50%28.63%28.46%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.18%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 34.47%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 36.95%; Draw: 28.58%. For Varbergs BoIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.07%EV -11.41%E -4.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV +0.879%E +0.322%K +0.508%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -16.24%E -6.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -17.96%E -7.55%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 16:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.75%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 09:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.24%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.25%E -2.89%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -8.73%E -3.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 14:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 16:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.05%E -5.06%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-13 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -17.69%E -6.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |